Evesham United vs Leek Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 2
SWI
20%
23%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 3
BIS
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
THA
1 - 1
EVE
37%
27%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 1
CLE
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Leek Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GOO
0 - 3
LEE
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LEE
4 - 0
MIC
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LEE
2 - 1
GOO
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 2
LEE
25%
23%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LEE
1 - 0
KID
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |