Evesham United vs Hamworthy United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
7º
18º
8º
0
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EVE
2 - 0
TUF
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 0
WUN
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
EXM
1 - 1
EVE
31%
23%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EVE
2 - 2
PTC
69%
17%
13%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
EVE
3 - 0
WOR
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hamworthy United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 2
MON
40%
24%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRI
3 - 4
HAM
54%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 2
WIL
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 0
HAM
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 0
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |