Evesham United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
EVE
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
GLO
2 - 0
EVE
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 0
RUG
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 1
STO
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
OXF
0 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
EVE
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
HIT
1 - 1
BAS
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MER
0 - 2
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 2
BAS
55%
24%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |