Premier League 2 Division One Normal Season Round 14

Everton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 analysis

Everton U21 Nottingham Forest U21
45 ELO 49
-2.5% Tilt 2.1%
6039º General ELO ranking 4942º
207º Country ELO ranking 148º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Everton U21
24.6%
Draw
32.2%
Nottingham Forest U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
Everton U21
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.2%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest U21
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Everton U21
-10%
-12%
Nottingham Forest U21

Points and table prediction

Everton U21
Their league position
Nottingham Forest U21
CURR.POS.
25º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
20º
26º
25º
28
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tottenham Hotspur U21
46
46
100%
West Ham U21
42
42
100%
Fulham U21
38
38
100%
Chelsea U21
36
36
0%
Arsenal U21
36
36
0%
Reading U21
35
35
100%
Sunderland U21
34
34
100%
Liverpool U21
33
33
100%
Crystal Palace U21
31
31
0%
Wolves U21
10º
31
31
10º
0%
Middlesbrough U21
11º
31
31
11º
0%
Man. Utd U21
12º
29
29
12º
0%
Brighton & Hove U21
13º
29
29
13º
0%
Nottingham Forest U21
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Blackburn Rovers U21
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Aston Villa U21
16º
25
25
16º
100%
Southampton U21
17º
24
24
17º
100%
Norwich City U21
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Stoke City U21
19º
23
23
19º
100%
Leicester U21
20º
20
20
20º
100%
West Bromwich U21
21º
19
19
21º
100%
Newcastle U21
22º
19
19
22º
100%
Man. City U21
23º
18
18
23º
100%
Leeds United U21
24º
18
18
24º
100%
Everton U21
25º
17
17
25º
100%
Derby County U21
26º
16
16
26º
100%
Expected probabilities
Everton U21
Nottingham Forest U21
Final Series
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Everton U21
Nottingham Forest U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Everton U21
Everton U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2024
AVI
Aston Villa U21
2 - 1
Everton U21
EVE
45%
23%
32%
47 45 2 0
29 Jan. 2024
EVE
Everton U21
1 - 1
Man. City U21
MCI
22%
22%
56%
46 59 13 +1
24 Jan. 2024
EVE
Everton U21
2 - 1
Benfica U21
SLB
77%
14%
9%
46 9 37 0
19 Dec. 2023
EVE
Everton U21
0 - 0
Feyenoord U21
FYN
60%
20%
20%
46 35 11 0
15 Dec. 2023
EVE
Everton U21
1 - 3
West Bromwich U21
WBA
51%
23%
26%
47 44 3 -1

Matches

Nottingham Forest U21
Nottingham Forest U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2024
DCO
Derby County U21
0 - 1
Nottingham Forest U21
NOT
25%
23%
52%
47 30 17 0
22 Jan. 2024
NOT
Nottingham Forest U21
3 - 2
Sparta Praha U21
PRA
43%
22%
35%
47 45 2 0
12 Jan. 2024
NOT
Nottingham Forest U21
0 - 5
Sunderland U21
SUN
54%
22%
24%
48 46 2 -1
18 Dec. 2023
STC
Stoke City U21
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest U21
NOT
24%
24%
52%
50 35 15 -2
13 Dec. 2023
NOT
Nottingham Forest U21
0 - 2
Hertha BSC U21
HER
78%
13%
8%
50 12 38 0