Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 0
EVE
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
EVE
0 - 4
ASV
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
WOL
2 - 1
EVE
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
SUN
5 - 2
BPO
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
WOL
2 - 2
SUN
73%
15%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1956 |
BOL
2 - 1
SUN
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
SUN
8 - 1
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |