Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1905 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
65%
19%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1905 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
65%
19%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
SUN
2 - 3
EVE
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1905 |
EVE
5 - 2
SHW
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1905 |
EVE
4 - 0
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1905 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
ARS
0 - 0
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1905 |
STO
2 - 0
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1905 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1905 |
ARS
3 - 0
SHW
35%
27%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |