Confederation Cup Fase de Grupos. Jor. 3

Etoile Sahel vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis

Etoile Sahel Al Ahli Tripoli
73 ELO 66
9% Tilt -12.5%
1412º General ELO ranking 1240º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.7%
Etoile Sahel
22.1%
Draw
18.2%
Al Ahli Tripoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
Etoile Sahel
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.2%
Win probability
Al Ahli Tripoli
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Etoile Sahel
-18%
+20%
Al Ahli Tripoli

ELO progression

Etoile Sahel
Al Ahli Tripoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Etoile Sahel
Etoile Sahel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2016
ETO
Etoile Sahel
1 - 1
FUS Rabat
FUR
52%
25%
23%
72 74 2 0
18 Jun. 2016
KAW
Kawkab Marrakech
2 - 1
Etoile Sahel
ETO
36%
28%
36%
72 69 3 0
12 Jun. 2016
ASD
Marsa
0 - 3
Etoile Sahel
ETO
45%
28%
27%
72 71 1 0
09 Jun. 2016
ETO
Etoile Sahel
2 - 1
EGS Gafsa
EGS
50%
26%
25%
72 72 0 0
29 May. 2016
STA
Stade Gabésien
1 - 1
Etoile Sahel
ETO
41%
30%
29%
72 72 0 0

Matches

Al Ahli Tripoli
Al Ahli Tripoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2016
TRI
Al Ahli Tripoli
2 - 1
Almahalla
ALM
61%
23%
16%
66 58 8 0
28 Jun. 2016
TRI
Al Ahli Tripoli
1 - 2
Kawkab Marrakech
KAW
48%
26%
26%
67 70 3 -1
24 Jun. 2016
TRI
Al Ahli Tripoli
1 - 1
Al-Madina SC
AMT
57%
25%
19%
67 63 4 0
20 Jun. 2016
FUR
FUS Rabat
1 - 0
Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
56%
24%
21%
67 73 6 0
11 Jun. 2016
ALT
Al-Tirsana
0 - 3
Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
25%
29%
46%
67 54 13 0
X