CAF Champions . Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Etoile Sahel vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ETO
7 - 0
CSH
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 0
ETO
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
ETO
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CSS
2 - 1
ETO
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
CHL
0 - 0
ETO
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
ALO
2 - 4
TRI
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 0
ETO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
3 - 0
ALJ
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 0
ALH
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 0
JSK
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |