ES Métlaoui vs US Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
31.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
6º
19
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
ASD
55%
27%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
TAT
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ETO
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
TAT
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
BEN
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |