ES Métlaoui vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
6º
16
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
TAT
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ETO
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAB
4 - 2
ETO
46%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 3
USM
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
EGS
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 1
ASD
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
60%
25%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
TAT
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESP
21%
28%
51%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |