Étoile Filante Ouagadougou vs Heart of Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Étoile Filante Ouagadougou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ETO
0 - 2
USO
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
ETO
3 - 2
USO
89%
9%
2%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
ETO
3 - 0
USC
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2008 |
ETO
1 - 0
SON
64%
20%
15%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
ETO
3 - 1
JBC
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HEA
0 - 0
SPM
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 0
HEA
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
HEA
1 - 0
HAS
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ASH
0 - 0
HEA
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
HEA
3 - 1
KIN
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |