CAF U20 Fases previas. Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Ethiopia U20s vs Burundi U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
GHA
4 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 1
GHA
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 2
ETH
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 1
SOM
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
ETH
2 - 3
NLD
7%
18%
75%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NGA
2 - 1
BDI
84%
12%
4%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BDI
0 - 1
NGA
10%
19%
72%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
BDI
0 - 2
JAP
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
BDI
1 - 1
CHL
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1995 |
BDI
1 - 5
ESP
25%
27%
48%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |