Greek Super League Round 28

Ethnikos Asteras vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis

Ethnikos Asteras Aris Thessaloniki
66 ELO 77
0.8% Tilt -2.7%
20177º General ELO ranking 472º
162º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.4%
Ethnikos Asteras
26.2%
Draw
44.4%
Aris Thessaloniki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
Ethnikos Asteras
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.4%
Win probability
Aris Thessaloniki
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ethnikos Asteras
Aris Thessaloniki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ethnikos Asteras
Ethnikos Asteras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2000
ION
Ionikos Nikea
3 - 0
Ethnikos Asteras
ETH
77%
15%
8%
66 79 13 0
03 Apr. 2000
ETH
Ethnikos Asteras
1 - 1
Olympiacos
OLP
16%
23%
61%
66 83 17 0
26 Mar. 2000
PAN
Paniliakos
2 - 0
Ethnikos Asteras
ETH
57%
23%
21%
66 68 2 0
20 Mar. 2000
ETH
Ethnikos Asteras
3 - 1
Iraklis Thessaloniki
IRA
27%
25%
48%
65 76 11 +1
13 Mar. 2000
KAL
Kalamata FC
1 - 0
Ethnikos Asteras
ETH
55%
24%
21%
66 70 4 -1

Matches

Aris Thessaloniki
Aris Thessaloniki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2000
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
0 - 2
Panathinaikos
PAN
35%
26%
39%
78 83 5 0
02 Apr. 2000
PAO
PAOK
3 - 2
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
61%
22%
17%
78 83 5 0
25 Mar. 2000
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
1 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
36%
26%
37%
78 83 5 0
19 Mar. 2000
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
3 - 3
Trikala
TRI
71%
20%
10%
78 62 16 0
12 Mar. 2000
AOK
Kavala
1 - 0
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
30%
27%
43%
79 66 13 -1