Ethnikos Achnas vs Omonia Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
8º
8º
3
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 53 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 48 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 46 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 45 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 42 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 35 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 34 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 30 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 30 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 24 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 22 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 21 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
24.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
75.5% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
ETH
0 - 0
AKR
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
ETH
1 - 3
AEL
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
ETH
0 - 4
APO
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ETH
2 - 1
ASI
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
ETH
1 - 1
ANO
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2025 |
OMO
1 - 0
WOL
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
WOL
2 - 1
OMO
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
OMO
5 - 0
ARA
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
ARA
0 - 4
OMO
26%
24%
49%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
FTK
0 - 4
OMO
35%
25%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |