Ethnikos Achnas vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 0
ETH
30%
30%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 1
ERM
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ANO
2 - 0
ETH
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AEL
0 - 0
ETH
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ETH
4 - 0
ARI
41%
27%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 1
APO
34%
26%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
OLY
1 - 1
AEK
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
APO
3 - 0
AEK
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
STB
3 - 1
AEK
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 3
AEK
19%
28%
53%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |