Tecos vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 1
EST
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
ATS
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
IND
1 - 2
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
DCU
62%
21%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
SNL
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
49%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |