Tecos vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
5 - 2
EST
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
EST
4 - 2
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
EST
2 - 3
JAG
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
VER
1 - 1
EST
46%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAZ
0 - 1
PUM
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
QRO
2 - 1
CAZ
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 2
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 3
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 0
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |