Torneo Federal B - Transición . Final
Global 2-1
Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
TIR
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 0
EST
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
CAG
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CAG
2 - 1
EST
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DCM
0 - 1
IND
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
DCM
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 0
IND
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |