Estudiantes La Plata vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
IND
36%
29%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
EST
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
37%
30%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
BOC
33%
28%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
GOD
1 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VSC
1 - 1
LUJ
39%
29%
32%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
LUJ
0 - 0
SBA
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
LUJ
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
AGR
0 - 1
LUJ
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
ARQ
2 - 1
LUJ
54%
27%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |