Estudiantes La Plata vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1978 |
COL
1 - 4
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
EST
2 - 1
ARG
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VEL
1 - 2
EST
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
EST
2 - 0
NOB
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
EST
1 - 3
EST
31%
29%
40%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
IND
3 - 1
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1978 |
ARG
4 - 1
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
IND
2 - 0
VEL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
NOB
1 - 1
IND
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
IND
2 - 1
EST
79%
14%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |