Estudiantes La Plata vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
IND
2 - 1
EST
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
EST
0 - 0
ATL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1958 |
NOB
1 - 1
EST
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
EST
2 - 1
SLO
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1958 |
VEL
4 - 1
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1958 |
RIV
2 - 0
RAC
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
42%
24%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1958 |
RIV
5 - 2
CCS
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
ATL
0 - 1
RIV
38%
23%
39%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1958 |
RIV
5 - 1
CEN
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |