Estudiantes de Mérida vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
URE
1 - 2
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 0
EST
18%
20%
62%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
TRU
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
DIA
1 - 2
MON
22%
23%
56%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
ZUL
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
MON
6 - 0
GVA
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 1
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
GVA
0 - 4
MON
16%
21%
64%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |