Estudiantes de Mérida vs Mineros de Guayana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 2
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
ZAM
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
3 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 0
MIR
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 2
MIN
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
MIN
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 2
ZUL
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |