Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
EST
41%
29%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MET
4 - 0
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
ZAM
2 - 0
EST
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 0
LAR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 1
CFC
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ZUL
0 - 1
LAR
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 0
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -2 |