Estudiantes de Mérida vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
MIN
29%
28%
42%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
ARA
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ZUL
1 - 3
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
ATL
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
LAR
4 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 2
DEP
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 2
TAC
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TRU
0 - 0
DEP
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |