Estudiantes de Mérida vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
5 - 1
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
TRU
38%
29%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIN
3 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
YAR
0 - 1
EST
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
ZUL
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 4
CAR
71%
20%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |