Estudiantes de Mérida vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
EST
2 - 2
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
YAR
2 - 0
EST
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
TAC
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
EST
3 - 2
TRU
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
EST
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
YAR
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
2 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
ANZ
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
MON
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MIN
2 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |