CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
SUA
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
EST
2 - 2
VSC
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 1
EST
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
COL
0 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 0
BRO
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
MOR
26%
29%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARM
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |