Estrella Roja vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
ZAM
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
3 - 2
EST
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ZUL
1 - 0
EST
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
MIN
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MIR
2 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ARA
2 - 3
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |