Estrella vs Unión Carrizal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
DPV
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
BLP
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
EST
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
LON
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
UCA
1 - 1
TAR
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
LON
1 - 1
UCA
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
UCA
0 - 1
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
5 - 0
UCA
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
UCA
1 - 1
TER
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |