Estrella vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 1
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
CDM
12%
23%
65%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VER
2 - 0
EST
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
CDB
40%
25%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
UDS
6 - 0
COT
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
HCF
1 - 4
UDS
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 2
MAR
20%
25%
56%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 0
PAN
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
UDS
3 - 1
ECI
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |