Estrella vs San Andrés y Sauces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
LAN
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CDM
0 - 2
EST
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
VER
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 1
EST
44%
25%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
UDT
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Andrés y Sauces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
SYS
42%
25%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SYS
1 - 4
CDT
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SDT
1 - 0
SYS
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SYS
4 - 0
VIC
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UDL
2 - 2
SYS
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |