Estrella vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CDM
0 - 2
EST
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
VER
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 1
EST
44%
25%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
UDT
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LPA
1 - 2
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 0
LAG
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CDT
1 - 1
LAN
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 0
SDT
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 0
LAN
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 0
UDL
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |