Estrella vs Corralejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
EST
2 - 0
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
ARG
1 - 0
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
EST
2 - 0
IGA
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
SAL
2 - 2
EST
55%
24%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Corralejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
COR
1 - 1
VEC
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
FER
1 - 2
COR
20%
25%
55%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
COR
3 - 0
RAF
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
ARG
1 - 2
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
IGA
0 - 1
COR
10%
21%
68%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |