Estrella vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
BLP
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 1
EST
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
LON
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VLS
0 - 3
EST
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
DOR
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DPV
1 - 1
TAR
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LON
2 - 2
DPV
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
DPV
2 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DPV
1 - 0
COT
7%
15%
78%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | +3 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
DPV
0 - 2
LOM
31%
22%
47%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |