CF Estrela Amadora vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
UNI
1 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
RIO
1 - 0
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
EST
3 - 1
FEL
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
LEC
3 - 1
EST
32%
27%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAV
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
FEL
0 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 1
MOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
PEN
3 - 3
ACA
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |