CD Estradense vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CUL
3 - 1
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
CDL
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDV
0 - 2
EST
45%
25%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
EST
3 - 2
USD
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 1
CDP
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
OUR
1 - 4
CHO
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 1
CDB
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
CHO
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CLU
2 - 1
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |