Estoril vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SPB
3 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
SLB
6 - 0
AVE
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
OLH
1 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SLB
4 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |