Segunda Liga Round 22

Estoril vs Benfica II analysis

Estoril Benfica II
73 ELO 61
9.8% Tilt -6.7%
522º General ELO ranking 1175º
14º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
69.8%
Estoril
18.5%
Draw
11.7%
Benfica II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
Estoril
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.7%
Win probability
Benfica II
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estoril
+8%
+2%
Benfica II

ELO progression

Estoril
Benfica II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estoril
Estoril
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2021
LEX
Leixões
0 - 1
Estoril
EST
24%
27%
49%
72 60 12 0
16 Feb. 2021
EST
Estoril
3 - 0
Academico Viseu
ACV
64%
21%
15%
72 64 8 0
11 Feb. 2021
EST
Estoril
1 - 3
Benfica
SLB
14%
20%
67%
72 87 15 0
06 Feb. 2021
EST
Estoril
1 - 2
Académica
ACA
63%
22%
15%
73 67 6 -1
02 Feb. 2021
ARO
Arouca
1 - 0
Estoril
EST
23%
27%
50%
73 62 11 0

Matches

Benfica II
Benfica II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2021
BEN
Benfica II
2 - 0
Mafra
MAF
49%
24%
27%
61 63 2 0
14 Feb. 2021
CHA
Chaves
0 - 0
Benfica II
BEN
50%
26%
24%
60 67 7 +1
07 Feb. 2021
BEN
Benfica II
2 - 0
Casa Pia AC
CAS
67%
19%
14%
60 55 5 0
31 Jan. 2021
VIL
Vilafranquense
2 - 2
Benfica II
BEN
36%
26%
38%
60 57 3 0
25 Jan. 2021
POR
Porto II
1 - 1
Benfica II
BEN
44%
25%
31%
60 58 2 0