Estoril Sub 23 vs Leixões Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BES
3 - 2
EST
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
EST
3 - 0
FAR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
EST
5 - 1
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BES
2 - 0
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
LEX
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
LEX
1 - 0
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LEX
1 - 0
FAM
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
LEX
5 - 0
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
LEX
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |