Esteghlal Tehran vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
EST
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
SAB
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
ALN
2 - 1
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SAI
0 - 0
EST
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
SMK
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAS
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
PAK
1 - 0
NEF
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SAD
2 - 1
PAK
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
OLM
0 - 1
PAK
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PAK
2 - 0
QIZ
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |