Esteqlal Abi Push vs Fajr Sepasi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteqlal Abi Push
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
DBF
2 - 0
EMO
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
EMO
0 - 1
SBA
45%
26%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
EMO
25%
29%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
EMO
1 - 2
SEP
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
KHO
0 - 2
EMO
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
FAJ
3 - 1
MSB
49%
30%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
FAJ
23%
27%
49%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FAJ
3 - 0
AKF
27%
31%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FAJ
0 - 3
GOH
22%
27%
52%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
FAJ
1 - 1
FCA
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |