Estanciano vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 3
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
EST
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
OSE
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LAG
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
AMA
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOC
0 - 2
AMA
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
EST
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |