USA U20 vs Australia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2009 |
DNK
2 - 1
USA
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
USA
32%
24%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
EGY
0 - 1
USA
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
USA
0 - 3
CRI
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
TTO
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ENG
2 - 0
AUS
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
AUS
2 - 1
TTO
67%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
JAP
1 - 1
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
0 - 3
NLD
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
AUS
3%
12%
86%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | -1 |