Essor-Préchotain vs Samaritaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essor-Préchotain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CLU
2 - 0
ESS
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ESS
2 - 2
EMU
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ESS
2 - 2
CLU
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GOO
0 - 0
ESS
50%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 0
ESS
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAS
48%
25%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NSD
5 - 0
SAM
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 1
USM
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
GOL
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |