Esportivo BG vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
ESP
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 3
SAP
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CAX
2 - 0
ESP
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
NOV
3 - 2
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
CAX
4 - 1
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
SAP
1 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NOV
0 - 1
GRE
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |