Espoir vs Nigelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
DNI
2 - 2
ESP
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
ESP
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 4
GNN
26%
29%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NIG
2 - 1
ESP
63%
21%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AKO
3 - 0
ESP
58%
26%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nigelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
NIG
2 - 1
JAN
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
URA
0 - 0
NIG
33%
31%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
AKO
0 - 1
NIG
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
DNI
8 - 1
NIG
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NIG
0 - 0
OLY
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |