Espinho vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
RDA
0 - 1
ESP
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
RIO
0 - 0
ESP
67%
21%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
VST
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
POR
3 - 0
ESP
64%
24%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
SPB
3 - 1
SAL
65%
20%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
BOA
0 - 2
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPB
35%
30%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |