Espinho vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
ESP
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
ANA
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
ESP
23%
25%
53%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
BEN
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
ANA
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
CES
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CES
0 - 2
ACV
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TOC
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
COI
1 - 1
CES
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |