Espinho vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 3
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COI
0 - 3
ESP
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 2
CAS
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 2
ESP
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 1
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 2
AMA
32%
24%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
GIN
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMA
57%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SFU
2 - 0
AMA
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -3 |